One of the things that's been worrying me of late is the possibility of Hillary losing the primary vote and refusing to concede thereby taking the party down with her. By way of Josh, it looks like this might be the case:
Hillary Clinton will take the Democratic nomination even if she does not win the popular vote, but persuades enough superdelegates to vote for her at the convention, her campaign advisers say.
[...]
But Clinton will not concede the race to Obama if he wins a greater number of pledged delegates by the end of the primary season, and will count on the 796 elected officials and party bigwigs to put her over the top, if necessary, said Clinton's communications director, Howard Wolfson.
[...]
"We don't make distinctions between delegates chosen by million of voters in a primary and those chosen between tens of thousands in caucuses,'' Wolfson said. "And we don't make distinctions when it comes to elected officials'' who vote as superdelegates at the convention.
"We are interested in acquiring delegates, period,'' he added.
Now, I've never been a big fan of the Clintons (note: I will vote for Hillary in November if she's the nominee) for many reasons but the pertinent one now is their tendency to make everything about them. There's already a lot of bad blood between the Clintons and Obama (and among their supporters) - to, I think, a ridiculous extent - and losing the popular vote, whether measured in ballots cast or pledged delegates, but winning the nomination thanks to party apparatchiks will simply blow the party up. Not surprisingly, the Clintonites dismiss this possibility:
Clinton advisers rejected the notion that the candidate -- and the party -- would be badly wounded in the general election if the nominee were essentially selected by a group of party insiders.
"This is a nomination system that exists of caucuses, primaries, superdelegates and also the issue of voters in Florida and Michigan,'' states whose delegates currently will not be seated at the convention because they broke party rules by moving up their primaries to January, said Mark Penn, senior strategist for the Clinton campaign. But "whoever the nominee is, the party will come together behind that nominee,'' he said.
That's as may be but I don't see Obama supporters - the core supporters - lining up behind Hillary if she wins through these means. We already have an example of how far the Clintons will go to win:
Clinton -- who initially joined other Democrats in opposing Michigan and Florida's decisions to go ahead with early primaries -- now wants the votes of those primaries counted. The Obama camp thinks that idea is unfair, since candidates were not allowed to campaign in those states, and Clinton alone kept her name on the Michigan ballot, meaning Obama did not have a chance at getting even provisional delegates.
In other words, because it might be the difference between winning and losing Hillary is going back on her pledge - changing the rules in the middle of the game. That may be desirable in a general election against a Republican (heaven knows they aren't interested in rules and laws) but will be a disaster in an intra-party contest.
Happily, the indications are that the superdelegates will break for Obama if Hillary fails to win convincingly in Ohio and Texas in 4 March. If it comes to that let's hope that the Clintons have the grace to go quietly.
Relatedly, Clinton supporter and all-around shame of the Democratic party Lanny Davis writes at HuffPo that superdelegates are a bulwark against the stupid voters:
But let's not rewrite history. When the superdelegates were first created by the Democratic National Committee in 1982, they were intended to be independent, able to vote for any candidate, regardless of the outcome of the primaries or caucuses in their own congressional districts or states.
Gotta make sure the party hacks maintain their hold, you know.
And ironically, Davis writes:
There is one principle we learned as kids in schoolyards and on which all should agree, whether supporters of Senator Obama or Senator Clinton:
Don't change the rules in the middle of the game or, more accurately, don't game the rules to change the outcome.
Which, of course, is what Hillary is trying to do with Michigan and Florida.
Finally, Davis Sirota notes this gem from Davis' piece:
We were also reminded that before these reforms, the "smoke-filled rooms" of Democratic Party leaders had led to the nomination and election of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Adlai Stevenson and John F. Kennedy. Not bad.
Ah, yes, we all remember when Stevenson trounced Eisenhower in the '52 election. Good times, good times.
Idiot.
.